LinkedIn IPO
[Repost from my contribution to Morningstar Advisor] LinkedIn LNKD rallied more than 100% in its first day of trading. The market is buzzing about its spectacular performance. Even I, a known advocate of passive investment among my friends and clients, got calls asking if it’s a good time to invest in this stock. It’s not, emphatically. Here are three reasons:
Insider Advantage
LinkedIn has been in business since 2003. Who decided that it should go public now, as opposed to March 2009? Surprise! It’s the management of the company, acting in the interest of its shareholders. In LinkedIn’s case, it’s Reid Hoffman, who is both CEO and a major shareholder. Did Reid do that so that you could buy his shares at an undervalued price? I bet not. And for that matter, he was willing to sell shares at a pricing range of $32 to $35. The pricing range was only raised to $42 to $45 after popular demand from investment bankers.
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Tax Update: Charitable Expenses
Posted on: May 14, 2011
If you are a volunteer worker for a charity, you should be aware that your generosity may entitle you to some tax breaks.
Although no tax deduction is allowed for the value of services you perform for a charitable organization, some deductions are permitted for out-of-pocket costs you incur while performing the services (subject to the deduction limit that generally applies to charitable contributions). This includes items such as:
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Shall You Sell in May and Go Away?
Posted on: May 10, 2011
Stock Market Seasonality
By now, you may have heard the stock market folklore: “Sell in May and Go Away.”
Well, let’s look at the statistics, shall we? Most stock market returns are delivered during the winter season from November to May. In the summer (June to October), however, the market seems to take a vacation. Not only does it not deliver much return, it is also more volatile.
It’s not just the US market; some European markets manifest this tendency as well. See the chart below based on market data from the US, the UK, Germany, the Netherlands, and Belgium.
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[Guest Post by Jeremy Bendler, CPA] Businesses with cash reserves sitting on the sidelines are being encouraged to invest some of those funds in equipment and improvements in 2011. Congress has passed a number of favorable tax breaks for the treatment of business purchases of equipment and leasehold improvements including expanded section 179 expensing of assets, bonus depreciation, and relaxed auto depreciation rules. These incentives to spend and invest are hoped to help push the economy forward by giving businesses an incentive to invest!
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Charitable Giving and Estate Planning
Posted on: May 5, 2011
[Guest Post by Christopher Guest] Many people I work with to plan their estate want to make some type of charitable gift. Charitable giving through a person’s estate plan falls into three categories: a simple bequest through a will, a charitable remainder trust or a charitable lead trust1. Most people want to make an altruistic donation to some cause that holds a special place in their heart. However, for the more sophisticated estates, charitable giving can be a valuable estate tax planning tool.
The simplest and most popular form of charitable giving is a bequest through a will. Basically, there will be a clause in the will that says “I give X amount of money to charity Y.” If the estate plan is more sophisticated, the bequest could be based on a percentage of the estate’s value or a part of the residue of the estate2. Like all charitable bequests, it is tax deductible.
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MZ Capital 60/40 Portfolio Model
This report shows the construct and performance of a 60/40 model portfolio.
Asset Classes and Fund Selection
There are six asset classes in this portfolio model. The asset allocation is implemented using DFA funds, as shown in the table 1. I explained why DFA funds are superior here. Read the rest of this entry »
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A Balanced Portfolio to Avoid (III): Most Financial Advisors Are Not Fiduciaries!
Posted on: April 30, 2011
My friend is a savvy businessman. However, like most Americans, he has a misconception: he thinks financial advisors are legally bound to put clients’ interests first. This can not be further from the truth. Everybody and his grandma can be a “financial advisor.” Unlike being a “physician”, there are neither legal requirements no educational qualifications. Whether a certain financial advisor is bounded legally to act in his client’s best interests all depends on his true profession. Here is an ad hoc summary:
| Professional Title | Fiduciary? |
| Attorney | Yes |
| Certified Public Accountant (CPA) | Yes |
| Registered Investment Advisor (RIA) | Yes |
| Financial Planner | Maybe |
| Certified Financial Planner (CFP) | Maybe |
| Wealth Manager | Maybe |
| Insurance Agent | No |
| Registered Representative | No |
| Stock Broker | No |
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A Balanced Portfolio to Avoid (II): Hedge Funds Don’t Deliver Outstanding Returns
Posted on: April 28, 2011
Hedge funds are often peddled as a unique asset class that has outstanding returns that are uncorrelated with the market. In reality, hedge funds are as much an asset class as Las Vegas is.
Hedge funds are a general description of private investment companies that are organized as limited partnerships with fund managers as the general partners and investors as limited partners. The keyword here is private. By law they are not supposed to be sold to the public; therefore, they are exempted from government oversight. But sold to the public they are! It is not the first time unscrupulous “financial advisors” have pushed the limit of the law, while the SEC looks the other way.
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I recently met an entrepreneur friend of mine. I was pleasantly surprised to learn that he had sold his business and was now looking forward to retirement. He has about $1mm in his 401k plan. As any shameless financial advisor would do, I asked him if he had someone helping him manage his money.
“As a matter of fact, yes!” he answered. “A friend of mine is also a financial advisor, and he helped me create a balanced portfolio.”
He related that “50% of the money will be in safe investment—a (deferred) annuity that has a guaranteed yield of 5%; the other 50% will be in alternative investments for higher performance.”
To say that I was flabbergasted is a serious understatement. With a friend like that, who needs enemies?
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Watch the show and you’ll know what I meant.
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In 1993, the Journal of Financial Economics published “Common risk factors in the returns of stocks and bonds” by Fama and French. They examined bond returns in particular through the lens of various asset return models.
Let’s look at one of those models: the Fama/French three-factor model. The regression statistics of various bond classes are summarized in the table below:
| Bond class | 1-5G | 6-10G | Aaa | Aa | A | Baa | <Baa |
| Alpha | 0.72% | 0.84% | -0.84% | -0.85% | -0.96% | -0.6% | -1.32% |
| Beta | 0.1 | 0.18 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.26 | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| S | -0.06 | -0.14 | -0.12 | -0.11 | -0.09 | -0.04 | 0.04 |
| V | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.2 | 0.23 |
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It’s April 20th 2011 today, my small independent fiduciary wealth management pratice ranked 16th by Google using keyword search “Wealth Management,” My practice is right in between Merrill Lynch and AllianceBernstein in the ranking. I don’t think I am in good company though, since the other two don’t abide by fiduciary standards.
Click to get The Informed Investor: 5 Key Concepts for Financial Success.
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Inflation Ahead?
[Adapted from my Morningstar contribution] A year ago this month, after a trip to China I wrote ominously about inflation hitting the US economy like a tsunami.
My opinion was based on two observations:
- China’s labor costs were galloping at a 20% to 30% clip per year, and so much of what we consume is produced in China now.
- The Fed was printing money like crazy.
So far I have been wrong. The February 2011 inflation rate was 2.11%; though a slight uptick from 1.63% in January, it was by no mean a tsunami. Recently, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke testified before the Senate Banking Committee that the Fed projects an inflation rate of less than 2% for the next 3 years.
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April Wealth Management Roundup
Posted on: April 16, 2011
Conflict of Interest
Goldman Sachs, Rating Agencies Blamed in Senate Crisis Probe by CNBC
Where to Find Financial Advice? Probably Not Your Brokerage Firm by Oblivious Investor
Asset Protection
Protecting 401(k)s, IRAs From Creditors by WSJ.com
Investing
10 Ways to Beat the Market by Nathan Hale of Money Watch
Variable Annuities Don’t Belong in Retirement Plans by Mel Lindauer of Bogleheads.org
5 Sexiest Things about Indexing by Allan Roth of Money Watch
Value of Full-Service Brokers? By CXO Advisory
What’s My Job? By DIY Investor.
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Roth 401k vs Traditional 401k
Posted on: April 14, 2011
Many companies now offer employees the option to contribute to a Roth or traditional 401k. For a long while, I have advised my clients to go for the traditional 401k; they are all high-income earners and the tax deductions can be substantial. Besides, what’s not to like about taking money out of the clutches of the IRS?
The other day I googled “US tax rate history.” I was shocked to learn that out of the last 100 years, there were 48 years when the top rate was above 70%. There was even a period when the top rate was 94%! For heaven’s sake, that’s not taxation, that’s deprivation!
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US Stock Market Returns
What an indelible mark on many investors’ psyche the financial crisis in 2008 has left! Despite two years of strong equity returns, many investors are still on the sideline, afraid even to dip their toes into the market.
That’s understandable. Most investors’ perspectives are shaped by their most recent experiences. They are now doing things they wish they had done prior to the economy’s plunge into crisis. But does this make sense now that we are recovering?
The Investment Scientist 